MIATWSATHOMEARCHIVESFORECASTSIMAGERYABOUT TPCRECONNAISSANCE 000 ABNT30 KNHC 011343 TWSAT MONTHLY TROPICAL WEATHER SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT TUE OCT 1 2002 SUMMARY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY DURING SEPTEMBER 2002... FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... AFTER A RELATIVELY QUIET FIRST THREE MONTHS OF THE 2002 HURRICANE SEASON...EIGHT NAMED STORMS FORMED DURING THE MONTH OF SEPTEMBER ...THE HIGHEST NUMBER ON RECORD FOR ANY MONTH. FOUR OF THESE STRENGTHENED INTO HURRICANES. IN ADDITION ONE TROPICAL STORM...DOLLY...WHICH FORMED IN LATE AUGUST LASTED INTO SEPTEMBER. THERE WAS ALSO ONE TROPICAL DEPRESSION THAT DID NOT BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. DOLLY WAS THE FIRST TROPICAL CYCLONE OF 2002 TO DEVELOP IN THE DEEP TROPICS. IT FORMED FROM A TROPICAL WAVE ABOUT 630 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS EARLY ON 29 AUGUST AND ITS MAXIMUM WINDS REACHED 60 MPH ON THE 30TH. DOLLY INITIALLY MOVED WESTWARD AND GRADUALLY TURNED NORTHWEST AND NORTH OVER OPEN WATER AND BECAME ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL TROUGH ON THE 5TH OF SEPTEMBER. EDOUARD DEVELOPED ABOUT 110 MILES EAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA ON THE 1ST. THE DEPRESSION SOON STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM...AND THEN MOVED IN A CLOCKWISE LOOP OFF THE NORTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FOR A FEW DAYS. EDOUARD STRENGTHENED TO A PEAK INTENSITY OF 65 MPH ON THE 3RD BUT STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS SOON WEAKENED THE STORM AS IT HEADED FOR THE COAST. EDOUARD WAS BARELY OF TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH WHEN IT MADE LANDFALL JUST NORTH OF DAYTONA BEACH ON THE EVENING OF THE 4TH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION EDOUARD CROSSED NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA AND MOVED INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO ON THE 5TH AS A WEAK CYCLONE. STRONG WINDS ALOFT PREVENTED ANY REDEVELOPMENT...AND EDOUARD DISSIPATED OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF ON THE 6TH. ITS REMNANTS WERE ENTRAINED INTO THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL STORM FAY CENTERED OFF THE TEXAS COAST. ASIDE FROM SOME FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER NORTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA...THERE WERE NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM EDOUARD. TROPICAL STORM FAY DEVELOPED FROM AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. IT BECAME A DEPRESSION ON THE 5TH ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS AND BECAME A TROPICAL STORM LATER THAT SAME DAY. FAY REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY UNTIL EARLY ON THE 6TH ABOUT 125 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GALVESTON AND STRENGTHENED TO 60 MPH. FAY BEGAN DRIFTING SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST LATER THAT DAY AND EVENTUALLY MOVED INLAND ALONG THE CENTRAL TEXAS COAST NEAR PALACIOS EARLY ON THE 7TH AND THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATED. HOWEVER...THE REMNANT LOW MEANDERED ACROSS SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS AND PRODUCED TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AND WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE REGION. TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS FIRST TRACKED AS A WEAK CIRCULATION ON SEPTEMBER 1ST NEAR THE COAST OF AFRICA. MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD ...IT FINALLY DEVELOPED ENOUGH CONVECTION TO BE A 35-MPH TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THE 7TH IN THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC. IT DISSIPATED THE NEXT DAY WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. GUSTAV DEVELOPED AS A SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ON 8 SEPTEMBER ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. IT MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND QUICKLY BECAME A SUBTROPICAL STORM. GUSTAV CONTINUED NORTHWESTWARD ON THE 9TH...THEN TURNED NORTHWARD ON THE 10TH. THE SYSTEM TRANSITIONED TO A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE THE CENTER PASSED NEAR CAPE HATTERAS LATE THAT DAY. GUSTAV TURNED NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE ATLANTIC EARLY ON THE 11TH AND THEN STRENGTHENED INTO THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2002 SEASON. MAXIMUM WINDS REACHED 90 MPH BEFORE GUSTAV MADE LANDFALL IN EASTERN NOVA SCOTIA EARLY ON THE 12TH. THE STORM BECAME EXTRATROPICAL LATER THAT DAY NEAR WESTERN NEWFOUNDLAND. GUSTAV PRODUCED HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS IN PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA AND SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM-FORCE WINDS IN THE COASTAL AREAS OF NORTH CAROLINA. THE STORM CAUSED ONE DEATH DUE TO HIGH SURF ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. DAMAGE FIGURES ARE INCOMPLETE AT THIS TIME...BUT ARE BELIEVED TO BE MINOR. HANNA DEVELOPED OUT OF A BROAD AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER AND LOW PRESSURE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. A TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMED FROM THE DISTURBANCE LATE ON THE 11TH 240 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION MEANDERED SLOWLY IN THE CENTRAL GULF...BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM ON THE 13TH ABOUT 255 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF PENSACOLA. HANNA THEN MOVED NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD...PASSING OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER EARLY ON THE 14TH...AND MAKING LANDFALL NEAR THE ALABAMA-MISSISSIPPI BORDER NEAR MIDDAY ON THE 14TH WITH 50 MPH WINDS. THE REMNANTS OF HANNA PRODUCED OVER 14 INCHES OF RAIN AT DONALSONVILLE GEORGIA. ISIDORE FORMED FROM A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE AND BECAME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AS IT WAS APPROACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON 14 SEPTEMBER. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF WEAKENING IT REFORMED NEAR JAMAICA AND HIT WESTERN CUBA AS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 20TH AND THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE 22ND. IT WEAKENED OVER LAND AND THEN MOVED NORTHWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO AND MADE LANDFALL ON THE LOUISIANA COAST JUST WEST OF GRAND ISLE AS A 70 MPH TROPICAL STORM EARLY ON THE 26TH. ISIDORE BROUGHT TORRENTIAL RAIN TO JAMAICA AND CAUSED DAMAGE TO WESTERN CUBA...NORTHERN YUCATAN AND PORTIONS OF THE LOUISIANA/MISSISSIPPI COAST. JOSEPHINE WAS A SHORT-LIVED TROPICAL STORM LOCATED SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND. IT FORMED WITHIN AN OLD FRONTAL ZONE ON SEPTEMBER 17TH. IT IMMEDIATELY MOVED NORTHEASTWARD EMBEDDED ON THE EAST SIDE OF A TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES. JOSEPHINE WAS A MINIMAL 40-MPH TROPICAL STORM UNTIL THE 19TH...AND A LITTLE LATER THAT DAY IT MERGED WITH A COLD FRONT AND ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD AS A 60-MPH EXTRATROPICAL STORM. KYLE DEVELOPED FROM A NON-TROPICAL LOW IN THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC ON SEPTEMBER 20TH ABOUT 300 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. UNDER WEAK STEERING CURRENTS...KYLE DRIFTED ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST FOR TEN DAYS. ITS WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO HAVE REACHED 85 MPH ON THE 26TH AND 27TH. ON OCTOBER 1ST...KYLE WAS A NEARLY STATIONARY TROPICAL DEPRESSION LOCATED ABOUT 255 MILES SOUTH OF BERMUDA. LILI HAD A CLASSIC CAPE VERDE TYPE HURRICANE TRACK AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE ATLANTIC SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. THE TRACK BEGAN ON SEPTEMBER 13TH WHEN A DEPRESSION FORMED FROM A WAVE IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC ABOUT 1000 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. IT MOVED QUICKLY ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON THE 23RD AS A DEVELOPING TROPICAL STORM. MEDIA REPORTS INDICATE THAT LILI LEFT FOUR DEAD IN ST. VINCENT WHEN A MUD SLIDE KILLED A MOTHER AND THREE CHILDREN. THERE WAS ALSO HOME AND CROP DAMAGE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. LILI FLUCTUATED IN INTENSITY FROM NEARLY A HURRICANE TO A WEAK DEPRESSION AS IT MOVED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA. ON THE 28TH THROUGH THE 30TH...LILI MOVED BETWEEN JAMAICA...SOUTHWESTERN HAITI AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. JAMAICA WAS PARTICULARLY HARD HIT WITH FOUR DEATHS REPORTED BY MEDIA ALONG WITH SERIOUS FLOODING. ON OCTOBER 1...THE CENTER OF LILI WAS NEAR WESTERN CUBA WITH SUSTAINED WINDS TO 85 MPH. PRELIMINARY SUMMARY TABLE NAME DATES WIND-MPH DEATHS U.S. DAMAGE ----------- -------------- -------- ------ ----------- TS DOLLY 29 AUG - 4 SEP 65 0 0 TS EDOUARD 1-6 SEP 65 0 TS FAY 5-7 SEP 60 0 TBD TD SEVEN 7-8 SEP 35 0 0 H GUSTAV 8-12 SEP 90 1 TBD TS HANNA 11-14 SEP 50 3 ? TBD H ISIDORE 14-26 SEP 125 6 TBD TS JOSEPHINE 17-19 SEP 40 0 0 H KYLE 20 SEP-IN PROGRESS 85 0 0 H LILI 21 SEP-IN PROGRESS 85 8 0 TBD-- TO BE DETERMINED FORECASTERS AVILA/BEVEN/FRANKLIN/LAWRENCE/PASCH/STEWART Problems?